House prices and macroeconomic implicationsCurrent Knowledge

  1. Michael White 1
  2. Paloma Taltavull de la Paz 2
  1. 1 Nottingham Trent University (UK)
  2. 2 Universidad de Alicante (España)
Revue:
Cuadernos económicos de ICE

ISSN: 0210-2633 2340-9037

Année de publication: 2015

Titre de la publication: La vivienda tras la crisis finanaciera global: nueva visión viejos problemas

Número: 90

Pages: 31-54

Type: Article

DOI: 10.32796/CICE.2015.90.6106 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openAccès ouvert editor

D'autres publications dans: Cuadernos económicos de ICE

Résumé

His paper contains a summary of the literature to frame and understand the reasons why the EU regulations such as the macroeconomic imbalance Procedure (miP) and the excessive imbalance Procedure (eiP) include changes in house prices as one of the 14 indicators of economic imbalances. It also discusses whether or not that indicator needs to be complemented to follow housing market dynamics. The paper explains how the housing market is related to real as well as financial markets and how, through the channels of transmission, house prices define the house price channel linking financial shocks with real shocks and create imbalances. A classification of imbalances is also provided in the literature discussed below.

Références bibliographiques

  • [1] ARON, J.; DUCA, J.; MU ELLBAUER, J.; MURATA, K. and MURPHY, A. (PHY, A. (2010). «Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan, and the USA». Department of Economics Discussion Paper, Oxford.
  • ASPACHS-BRACONS, O. and RABANAL, P. (2009). «The Drivers of Housing Cycles in Spain», IMF Working Paper, WP/09/203.
  • BAFFOE-BONNIE, J. (1998). «The dynamic impact of macroeconomic aggregates on housing prices and stock of housing: A national and regional analysis». Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 17 (2), 189-216.
  • BLACKLEY, D. M. (1999). «The Long-Run Elasticity of New Housing Supply in the United States: Empirical Evidence for 1950 to 1994». Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 18 (1), 25-42.
  • BERNANKE, B. S. (2010). «Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble, Speech onAnnual Meeting of the American Economic Association». Available in http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm?sourc (access 10/04/2012).
  • CASE, K. E. and QUIGLEY, J. M. (2008). «How housing booms unwind: Income effects, wealth effects, and feedbacks through financial markets». European Journal of Housing Policy, 8 (2), 161-180.
  • CASE, K. E.; QUIGLEY, J. M. and SHILLER, R. J. (2003). Home-buyers, housing and the macroeconomy. Federal Reserve Bank of Australia.
  • DE LEEUW, F. and EKANEM, N. F. (1971). «The Supply of Rental Housing». The American Economic Review, 61, 806-817.
  • DEBELLE, G. (2004). «Household debt and the macroeconomy». BIS Quarterly Review, pp. 51-64.
  • DEMARY, M. (2010). «The interplay between output, inflation, interest rates and house prices: international evidence». Journal of Property Research, 27 (1), 1-17.
  • DIPASQUALE, D. and WHEATON, W. (1994). «Housing market dynamics and the future of housing prices», Journal of Urban Economics, 35, 1-28.
  • DIPASQUALE, D. y WHEATON, W. (1996). Urban Economics and real estate markets. New Jersey. Prentice-Hall.
  • ELBOURNE,A. (2008). «The UK housing market and the monetary policy transmission mechanism: An SVAR approach». Journal of Housing Economics, 17, 65-87.
  • EUROPEAN ECONOMY-EU (2012). «Scoreboard for the surveillance of macroeconomic imbalances». Occasional Papers 92, February.
  • FAVERO, C. A. and GIAVAZZI, F. (1999). «An evaluation of monetary policy transmission in the context of the European Central Bank». Report to European Parlament. Available at http://didattica.unibocconi.it/mypage/upload/48917_20081009_105606_ IGIER_FAVERO_STRASBOURG-FG.PDF (access 10/4/2012).
  • FRICK, J. R. and GRABKA, M. M. (2003). «Imputed rent and income inequality: A decomposition analysis for Great Britain, West Germany and the US». Review of Income and Wealth, 49 (4), 513-537.
  • FRIEDMAN, M. (1988). «Money and the Stock Market». Journal of Political Economy, 96 (2), 221-245.
  • GLAESER, E. L.; GYOURKO, J. and SAKS, R. E. (2005). «Urban Growth and Housing Supply». HIER Discussion Paper No. 2,062, SSRN papers series No. 658343. Available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=658343.
  • GOODHART, C. and HOFMANN, B. (2008). «House prices, money, credit, and the macroeconomy». Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 24 (1), 180-205.
  • GREIBER, C. and SETZER, R. (2007). «Money and housing -evidence for the euro area and the US». Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Eurosystem No. 12/2007
  • Hanushek, E. A. and Quigley, J. M. (1979). «The Dynamics of the Housing Market: A Stock Adjustment Model of Housing Consumption». Journal of Urban Economics, 6 (1), 90-111.
  • HIMMELBERG, C.; MAYER, C. and SINAI, T. (2005). «Assessing high house prices: Bubbles, fundamentals and misperceptions». Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19 (4), 67-92.
  • IACOVIELLO, M. (2005). «House prices, borrowing constraints, and monetary policy in the business cycle». American Economic Review, 739-764.
  • IACOVIELLO, M. and MINETTI, R. (2008). «The credit channel of monetary policy: Evidence from the housing market». Journal of Macroeconomics, 30 (1), 69-96.
  • IACOVIELLO, M. and NERI, S. (2010). «Housing market spillovers: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model». American Economic Journal, 2 (2), 125-164.
  • KIM, K. H. and RENAUD, B. (2009). «The global house price boom and its unwinding: an analysis and a commentary». Housing Studies, 24(1), 7-24.
  • LASTRAPES, W. (2002). «The real price of housing and money supply shocks: Time series evidence and theoretical simulations». Journal of Housing Economics, 11(1), 40-74.
  • LEVITIN, A. and WACHTER, S. M. (2013). «Why Housing?». Housing Policy Debate, 23 (1), 5-27. house prices and macroeconomic implications. current knowledge 53
  • MEEN, G. (2002). «An Overview of Issues in Housing Modelling and Policy». The University of Reading Paper Series. November.
  • MEEN, G. (2011). «The economic consequences of mortgage debt». Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 26, 263-276.
  • MISHKIN, F. (1995). «Symposium on the monetary transmission mechanism». Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9 (4), 3-10.
  • MISHKIN, F. (2007). Housing and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  • MUELLER, G. R. (1999). «Real Estate Rental Growth Rates at Different Points in the Physical Market Cycle». Journal of Real Estate Research, 18 (1), 131-150.
  • MUELLBAUER, J. (2007). «Housing, Credit and consumer Expenditure». Working Paper Nuffield College.
  • MUELLBAUER, J. (2008). «Housing, Credit and consumer Expenditure, Centre for Economic Policy Research». Available at http://www.kc.frb.org/publicat/sympos/2007/2007.09.17.Muellbauer.pdf (accessed on 01/03/2013).
  • MUELLBAUER, J. and MURPHY, A. (2008). «Housing markets and the economy: the assessment». Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 24 (1), 1-33.
  • MURIE,A. and MUSTERD, S. (1996). «Social Segregation, Housing Tenure and Social Change in Dutch Cities in the Late 1980s». Urban Studies, 33 (3), 495-516.
  • OLSEN, E. O. (1987). «The Demand and Supply of Housing Service: A Critical Survey of the Empirical Literature», in E. E. MILLS, Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics. Amsterdam, North-Holland Vol. II, Chap.25, pp. 989-1022.
  • ORTALO-MAGNÉ, F. and RADY, S. (2006). «Housing market dynamics: On the contribution of income shocks and credit constraints». The Review of Economic Studies, 73 (2), 459-485.
  • QUIGLEY, J. M. (1997). The Economics of Housing, Edward Elgar Publishing, Massachusetts. Vols. 1 and 2
  • REX, J. and MOORE, R. (1967). Race, Community and Conflict. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • SETZER, R.; VAN DEN NOORD, P. and GUNTRAM B. (2010). Heterogeneity in money holdings across euro area countries: the role of housing. European Commission, Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs, February.
  • SHILLER, R.J. (2000, 2007). Irrational Exuberance. Princeton Univ. Press, New Jersey.
  • SHILLER, R. J. (2007). «Understanding recent trends in house prices and home ownership». (No. w13553). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • TALTAVULL DE LA PAZ, P. and WHITE, M. (2012). «Fundamental drivers of house price change: the role of money, mortgages, and migration in Spain and the United Kingdom». Journal of Property Research, 29(4), 341-367.
  • TAYLOR, J. B. (2007). «Housing and monetary policy» (No. w13682). National Bureau of Economic Research. Available at ftp://ftp.repec.org/opt/ReDIF/RePEc/sip/07-003.pdf (accessed on 13.04.2013)
  • TOPEL, R. and ROSEN, S. (1988). «Housing Investment in the United States». Journal of Political Economy, 96 (4), 718-740