Estimating multivariate volatilityan approach based on mixed-frequency data

  1. Rubia Serrano, Antonio
Journal:
Cuadernos aragoneses de economía

ISSN: 0211-0865

Year of publication: 2009

Issue Title: Operaciones especiales y enfoques singulares en los mercados financieros

Volume: 19

Issue: 1

Pages: 85-97

Type: Article

More publications in: Cuadernos aragoneses de economía

Abstract

The Mixed Data Sampling variance estimator is a novel procedure able to overperform the univariate GARCH models and other conventional methods in empirical applications. We propose a suitable estimator for the multivariate context which is easily computable and tractable even in large-scale problems. We address the one-step-ahed forecasting accuracy at the monthly frequency over alternative models. These include the unconditional sample estimator, the rolling-window (or realized) estimator, and a constrained multivariate GARCH model. The MIDAS multivariate procedure provides a signi.cant reduction in the out-of- sample bias over these alternatives.